Getting started · 3 min read · Daily recap and Strategies
Understand the four kinds of results
Separate observed prices, simulated trades, shared live trades, and your holdings.
A peak is not a realized return
Fictional numbers. Compare the observed quote with a hypothetical trade.
+40% observed peak change
Reference quote $1.00 → highest recorded later quote $1.40. This measures an observed price change. It does not establish an exit at $1.40.
Observed price changes — Daily recap
Peak and closing changes compare recorded option quotes with the reference used for the recap. If the original alert price is missing, an available recap entry reference can supply that baseline. A peak is the highest observed later quote in the measured window, not a demonstrated exit. These percentages are not fills, account returns, or profits after costs. Only measured rows contribute to the averages.
Simulated trades — Strategies
Simulation results follow a model's entry and exit rules. They describe simulated fills under the stated assumptions. They do not demonstrate that a broker would fill the same order. Review sample size, dates, coverage, and included costs in the method details.
Shared live results — Strategies
Shared live results summarize recorded live trades in the published dataset. They are not your personal account returns. Compare the same units and scope; do not add shared live results to simulations or signal-price changes.
Personal holdings — My trades
My trades shows saved snapshots supplied by a connected broker. Check the last update time and account before reading quantity or unrealized P&L. A snapshot can lag the broker. It does not establish that every holding came from a Fizz signal.
Compare like with like
Check result type, date range, strategy version, trade count, and costs before comparing two values. A high win rate from a small sample can be misleading. Average return does not show the full loss range. Missing observations and excluded trades change what a statistic describes.